LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS

PLINKO

Two levels. In Level 1 you drop a few tokens; in Level 2 you drop many more. Each level gives you one average score — watch how the big-sample average locks onto the true mean.

Tokens

0/5

Running avg

0.0

Tap anywhere to drop token

Level 1 complete

Your average score (5 tokens)

0.0

Remember this number and compare it with the people around you. How different are your averages?

The takeaway

LEVEL 1

average of 5

0.0

LEVEL 2

average of 100

0.0

TRUE MEAN

the real target

0.0

Where your two averages landed vs. the true mean

Level 1 (n=5) Level 2 (n=100) True mean

More data, closer to the truth

The true mean is the value every average is really aiming at. Your Level 1 average (just 5 tokens) can land far from it, and across the class these averages are spread out. Your Level 2 average (100 tokens) sits much closer, and everyone’s lands near the same spot. That is the Law of Large Numbers: as you average more and more results, the average settles down onto the true mean.

Law of Large Numbers - Free Online Game on Astrocade